T Jr Hardman
May 19, 2006, 6:48 PM
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Jordan wrote: > The reason why Latino immigrants are bound to assimilate, at least to > some degree, is that unless they outnumbered almost _all_ native-born > Americans (and immigration to that degree would be improbable even if > we had totally open borders), they would need to learn English in order > to communicate with almost all non-Latinos, because most Americans > speak English, not Spanish. American English is a _koine_, and a koine > remains dominant until displaced by another koine. This is for simple, > practical reasons. > > Imagine that you are a Latino immigrant. If you speak only Spanish, > you can only speak to other Spanish-speakers, who are a minority except > in certain limited regions. Your social mobility is thus limited to > the _barrios_. Ah, given that the high-school dropout rate for even 3rd generation Mexican-Americans hovers close to 50 percent, social mobility -- in the terms most other Americans understand it, meaning going to college and becoming upper-middle-class -- doesn't much seem to concern them. > You can learn one other language. If you choose to learn anything > _but_ English, you can now speak to other Latino immigrants and to the > one ethnic group whose language you have learned. But if you learn > English, you can speak to some degree to members of _every_ immigrant > ethnic group, because almost every immigrant to America learns _some_ > English. > > The only way for this to change would be if so many Latin American > immigrants entered America _so_ fast that the _koine_ became Spanish. > But that would require some sort of _forced_ migration to America -- it > wouldn't happen fast enough naturally even with wholly open borders. Ah, the point you might be missing -- and I can presume only that you must not very much get out of the house, or your upper-class neighborhood, and haven't seen what's been happening. There's more factors at work here that migration, or lack of it. For one, you have a population which has very decreased growth, and which has an elder-heavy population curve. Sure, the vast majority of Americans are anglophone ("english speaking") but they're also aging, and are demographically moving towards an average age above the reproductive age. Remember, when the average woman is post-menopausal, it's very likely that you have a decreasing population of nubiles. For another thing, you have a population migrating, illegally for large part, into the USA. Demographically, they are generally young, with an average age somewhere around 23. At first they were primarily young men roughly of military age, and towards the buck-private conscript end of that age bracket. However, increasingly the flood comprises females, generally in their years of peak fertility. And do to the legal situation, it is very much in their interests to have a child as an "anchor baby". The more they have, the harder they are to deport... and though their children will of course learn to speak English, they'll almost certainly be primarily speaking Spanish at home, and "home" includes the neighborhood. Culturally, they'll be equal parts of all-American, Old Country, and the inevitable new brew of homegrown culture that emerges in any first-generation immigration population of any size. Even in the second generation there's generally enough retention of Spanish for it to serve as a koine or trade-language. Even if it's used as an agrammatical pidgin it's still there... and still any newcomers can use it for trade, without learning the other koine, and they will continue to prop up the numbers of those who speak it as well or better than the other koine is spoken. > > Sincerely Yours, > Jordan > -- It is better to remain silent and be thought a fool than to speak foolishness and remove all doubt. --Aesop
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